Florida State
Men -
Women
2014
-
2015 -
2016
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
110 |
Harry Mulenga |
JR |
31:53 |
195 |
Jack Goodwin |
SR |
32:13 |
196 |
Stanley Linton |
JR |
32:13 |
242 |
Zak Seddon |
SR |
32:24 |
440 |
Grant Nykaza |
JR |
32:52 |
542 |
Michael Hall |
SO |
33:04 |
928 |
Bryce Kelley |
SO |
33:40 |
1,006 |
Andrew Coscoran |
FR |
33:47 |
1,090 |
Otniel Teixeira |
JR |
33:54 |
1,262 |
William Bridges |
SR |
34:09 |
1,789 |
Matthew Magee |
SO |
34:59 |
1,911 |
Zainelabdin Fator |
SO |
35:12 |
|
National Rank |
#39 of 308 |
South Region Rank |
#1 of 40 |
Chance of Advancing to Nationals |
91.6% |
Most Likely Finish |
30th at Nationals |
National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.2% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
7.6% |
Regional Champion |
49.3% |
Top 5 in Regional |
100.0% |
Top 10 in Regional |
100.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
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Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Harry Mulenga |
Jack Goodwin |
Stanley Linton |
Zak Seddon |
Grant Nykaza |
Michael Hall |
Bryce Kelley |
Andrew Coscoran |
Otniel Teixeira |
William Bridges |
Matthew Magee |
Coast to Coast Battle in Beantown |
09/25 |
914 |
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31:59 |
32:40 |
33:53 |
32:52 |
33:06 |
33:09 |
33:20 |
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Florida State Invitational |
10/02 |
1040 |
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33:05 |
32:36 |
32:35 |
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33:44 |
34:08 |
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35:21 |
Wisconsin adidas Invitational |
10/16 |
701 |
32:04 |
31:51 |
32:27 |
32:00 |
34:10 |
33:02 |
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33:38 |
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Alabama Crimson Classic Invitational |
10/16 |
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33:46 |
34:39 |
ACC Championships |
10/30 |
727 |
31:30 |
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31:51 |
32:25 |
32:53 |
33:10 |
33:35 |
33:58 |
33:56 |
34:41 |
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South Region Championships |
11/13 |
672 |
31:47 |
32:15 |
32:16 |
32:15 |
32:24 |
32:59 |
34:31 |
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NCAA Championship |
11/21 |
733 |
32:21 |
32:25 |
31:53 |
32:12 |
32:40 |
33:06 |
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34:03 |
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|
NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
91.6% |
26.8 |
625 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
5.5 |
6.4 |
8.0 |
10.4 |
13.1 |
15.1 |
12.2 |
Region Championship |
100% |
1.6 |
69 |
49.3 |
41.9 |
6.6 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
---|
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Harry Mulenga |
96.1% |
95.3 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
Jack Goodwin |
92.5% |
144.1 |
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Stanley Linton |
93.0% |
143.4 |
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Zak Seddon |
91.9% |
166.1 |
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Grant Nykaza |
91.6% |
214.4 |
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Michael Hall |
91.7% |
226.1 |
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Bryce Kelley |
91.7% |
245.7 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Harry Mulenga |
3.4 |
11.5 |
17.7 |
15.6 |
12.2 |
7.9 |
6.4 |
5.3 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
2.0 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
Jack Goodwin |
8.6 |
0.4 |
1.7 |
3.6 |
6.8 |
8.9 |
9.2 |
7.9 |
7.5 |
6.8 |
5.6 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
4.6 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
2.8 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
Stanley Linton |
8.5 |
0.4 |
1.9 |
4.1 |
6.3 |
8.4 |
9.1 |
9.0 |
7.5 |
6.6 |
5.6 |
5.6 |
4.3 |
3.6 |
3.8 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
Zak Seddon |
12.6 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.3 |
2.8 |
4.1 |
6.2 |
6.5 |
6.6 |
6.5 |
5.9 |
5.6 |
5.8 |
4.3 |
4.7 |
4.0 |
3.6 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
2.5 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
Grant Nykaza |
26.2 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
1.9 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
3.9 |
3.8 |
3.8 |
3.4 |
3.7 |
Michael Hall |
34.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.9 |
2.7 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
Bryce Kelley |
64.6 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
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Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
|
At Large Selection |
|
No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
49.3% |
100.0% |
49.3 |
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49.3 |
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1 |
2 |
41.9% |
100.0% |
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41.9 |
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41.9 |
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2 |
3 |
6.6% |
6.6% |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
6.2 |
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0.4 |
3 |
4 |
1.6% |
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1.6 |
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4 |
5 |
0.6% |
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0.6 |
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5 |
6 |
0.0% |
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0.0 |
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7 |
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7 |
8 |
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9 |
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10 |
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11 |
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12 |
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14 |
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14 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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28 |
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30 |
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31 |
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31 |
32 |
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33 |
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34 |
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34 |
35 |
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35 |
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37 |
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37 |
38 |
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38 |
39 |
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39 |
40 |
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40 |
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Total |
100% |
91.6% |
49.3 |
41.9 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
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0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
8.4 |
91.2 |
0.4 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.